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Everything Is Predictable: How Bayes’ Remarkable Theorem Explains the World

byTom Chivers

Tom Chivers follows an eighteenth-century minister’s mathematical insight into the decisions and technologies that shape modern life. Bayes’ theorem offers a way to revise beliefs as evidence changes, helping explain medical test results, courtroom mistakes, election forecasts, artificial intelligence, and even theories of how brains perceive the world. Combining the lives of pioneering thinkers with practical examples, Chivers shows why intuition often mishandles probability. His account presents statistical reasoning as a useful habit for ordinary uncertainty, while exploring the debates that made Bayesian thinking both influential and controversial.

Publisher

Weidenfeld & Nicolson

Publication date

2024-04-25

Format

Hardcover

Pages

336

ISBN

9781399604031